What was expected happened… At the furthest point on the Turkish-Syrian-Iraqi border triangle, additional U.S. forces are massing, and the U.S. military command is conducting its individual” patrols, in an unmistakable message: striking kurds in northern Syria, a red line.”
At the time of the letter and its targets, we say that Ankara is its first and most important address, after the high frequency of its threat and promise to penetrate the Syrian border again, and the beating of those it considers terrorist elements, follow the PKK and owe its imprisoned leader Abdullah Ocalan loyalty… The second title is Damascus, where the apartment of its differences with Qamishli expands, and the two parties exchange “rough exposures” to each other, in various ways.
It is no secret to anyone that the Kurds of Syria and the entire region may have breathed a sigh of relief with Biden’s introduction, not because Trump was an adversary or an obstacle in the way of their aspirations, but because the new occupant of the White House has historically shown a surplus sympathy with the Kurds, in Syria and elsewhere, including the Kurds of Turkey… Biden’s victory provided them with a reliable friend, at least for the next four years, during which they will seek to impose the realities of their being, their own administration on the ground, and reassure them of an Unviolated U.S. security fence in the foreseeable future.
This coincides with a new U.S. thinking, which calls for a review of the military presence in the region, and perhaps against what the Trump administration, which decided to reduce the number of its troops in Iraq to 2,500 and in Syria to 200, in preparation for their withdrawal as soon as possible… The new administration believes that its battle with ISIS has not yet ended, and that the presence or withdrawal of U.S. forces must be carried out in coordination with the Allies, and here is referred exclusively to the Government of Al-Kazimi in Baghdad and Qasad east of the Euphrates.
If reports are true that Washington is deploying troops and bases on the Red Sea coast and in the Arabian Gulf, it means that Trump’s theory of the need to get out of the region’s unfinished wars is no longer valid under Biden… This administration, while unwilling and perhaps unable to enter a new war, does not seem to share the previous administration’s concept of national security, “leadership from behind” or through “proxies.”
This is not good news for Moscow, Tehran and Damascus, and it is certainly not good news for Ankara either… Moscow bet on the restoration of the Kurdish paper and the completion of reconciliation between Damascus and Qamishli, once the American forces leave northern Syria… Damascus, which has been prevented from accepting a “settlement” with its Kurds, seems to be going through this settlement but on more difficult terms… Ankara, which has long viewed the Kurds as a security threat, has turned its war on them into a “adhesive” that preserves the relationship between the two sides of the ruling coalition: justice and development and the nationalist movement, it seems that they will be in an early confrontation with the Biden administration on this issue… Tehran, which has placed the U.S. military withdrawal from the region as a price for Qassem Sulaimani’s head, seems to be surprised by the fact that these forces remain, and possibly increase their numbers and equipment.
Here we open brackets to say to the Kurdish friends: you have been bitten by the American burrow more than once, and in the absence of a square and appropriate, and it is time to draw lessons and lessons, and it is better for the future of the Kurdish people, to look for a comprehensive political solution to the Syrian crisis, and not to rise up in Washington or to take it on the “other” at home and citizenship… This is a suicide game, we are the people of a region, where the situation remains impossible, and the days are “states” among its players, and it is in the interest of the “minorities” not to get caught up in their bets, so that they do not find themselves and have lost everything: is this not the lesson of the referendum “fresh” in northern Iraq?
“Arib Rantawi” Director of the Jerusalem Center for Political Studies. Writer and political analyst for al-Dastour Daily.
Translated by : khoshbin sheikho